SARON vs fixed rate: which mortgage to choose in 2026?
This is the question every homeowner in Switzerland asks: should you opt for the security of a fixed rate or take advantage of the low SARON rates? The answer depends on your situation, your risk profile and your expectations. This guide gives you all the elements to make your decision.
Comparison at a glance
| Criterion | SARON | Fixed rate 5 years | Fixed rate 10 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| Indicative rate (March 2026) | 0.64% - 1.20% | 1.09% - 1.65% | 1.50% - 2.05% |
| Annual cost (CHF 800,000, median rate) | ~CHF 7,200 | ~CHF 10,800 | ~CHF 14,000 |
| Predictability | 3 months | 5 years | 10 years |
| Flexibility | High (3-6 months' notice) | Low (penalties) | Very low (high penalties) |
| Risk if rates rise | High | None | None |
| Benefit if rates fall | Immediate | None | None |
Three scenarios to understand the impact
To illustrate the difference concretely, let's simulate three scenarios over 5 years with a CHF 800,000 mortgage:
Scenario 1: rates remain stable
The SNB maintains its policy rate at 0.0% for 5 years. SARON stays around 0.90%.
| Option | Total cost over 5 years | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| SARON (0.90%) | CHF 36,000 | -CHF 18,000 |
| Fixed 5 years (1.35%) | CHF 54,000 | Benchmark |
Winner: SARON with CHF 18,000 in savings. This is the ideal scenario for SARON.
Scenario 2: progressive rate increase
The SNB progressively raises its policy rate to 1.50% over 3 years (+0.50% per year), then stabilises. Average SARON over 5 years: approximately 1.80%.
| Option | Total cost over 5 years | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| SARON (average 1.80%) | CHF 72,000 | +CHF 18,000 |
| Fixed 5 years (1.35%) | CHF 54,000 | Benchmark |
Winner: fixed rate with CHF 18,000 in savings. The fixed rate played its protective role.
Scenario 3: moderate increase then decrease
The SNB raises to 0.75% then reduces to 0.25%. Average SARON over 5 years: approximately 1.20%.
| Option | Total cost over 5 years | Difference |
|---|---|---|
| SARON (average 1.20%) | CHF 48,000 | -CHF 6,000 |
| Fixed 5 years (1.35%) | CHF 54,000 | Benchmark |
Winner: SARON with CHF 6,000 in savings. Even with a temporary increase, SARON remains cheaper in this scenario.
Simulate different scenarios with your own mortgage
Launch the simulationProfile types: who suits which option?
The "cautious" profile: fixed rate
- Tight budget, mortgage payments represent a significant portion of income.
- Need for certainty (family, school, fixed commitments).
- Low tolerance for financial stress.
- No significant liquidity reserve.
- Preference for simplicity: "I sign and forget about it".
Recommendation: 5-10 year fixed rate, depending on your expectations and acceptable additional cost.
The "opportunistic" profile: SARON
- Comfortable income with significant margin.
- Financial reserve equivalent to 12+ months of mortgage payments.
- Comfortable with variability and financial decisions.
- Follows economic news and SNB decisions.
- Ready to convert to fixed if necessary.
Recommendation: SARON with a pre-defined conversion strategy.
The "balanced" profile: mixed strategy
- Wants to benefit from low rates without full exposure.
- Moderate financial reserve.
- Prefers a compromise between savings and security.
Recommendation: tranche strategy with one part fixed and one part SARON.
The March 2026 context: what do the markets say?
To inform your thinking, here are the objective market elements:
- SNB policy rate: 0.0% -- a floor level. The SNB has little room to cut further (it could theoretically go negative, but this is considered unlikely).
- Swiss inflation under control: inflation has returned to the SNB's target zone (0-2%), which does not justify a rate increase in the short term.
- Flat to inverted yield curve: the 5-year fixed rate is sometimes cheaper than the 2-year, a sign that the market anticipates stable or declining rates in the medium term.
- Moderate SARON-fixed spread: the gap between median SARON (0.90%) and median 5-year fixed (1.35%) is 0.45%, which is reasonable. The "cost of security" is not excessive.
Decision guide: 5 key questions
Answer these 5 questions to guide your choice:
- Can you absorb a 2% increase in your rate?
If yes: SARON is an option. If no: fixed rate. - Do you have a liquidity reserve of at least CHF 50,000?
If yes: SARON is an option. If no: fixed rate is preferable. - Do you sleep well even when markets are turbulent?
If yes: SARON. If no: fixed rate. - Do you plan to sell or refinance within the next 5 years?
If yes: SARON (more flexible). If no: fixed rate is possible. - Are you willing to follow SNB decisions and react accordingly?
If yes: SARON with a conversion strategy. If no: fixed rate.
If you answered "yes" to at least 4 questions, SARON is probably suited to you. Otherwise, a fixed rate will serve you better. If your answers are mixed, the mixed strategy (tranches) is a good compromise.
Our recommendation for March 2026
In the current low-rate environment, both options are defensible:
- SARON is objectively the most economical as long as rates stay low. With an SNB rate at 0.0%, the cost is minimal.
- The 5-year fixed rate offers excellent value: at 1.09-1.35% (best offers), it is a historically low rate with 5 years of peace of mind.
- The 10-year fixed at 1.50-1.75% remains attractive for those wanting long-term security.
The mistake would be to decide alone, under pressure, or without comparing. A mortgage broker analyses your situation, presents your options and negotiates the best conditions -- free of charge.
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